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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.16+2.90vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.36+1.56vs Predicted
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3Indiana University1.19-0.21vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-1.34+2.57vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.49-0.79vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.63-0.57vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-1.08-0.89vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.70-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Northwestern University0.1612.7%1st Place
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3.56University of Wisconsin0.3618.3%1st Place
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2.79Indiana University1.1927.2%1st Place
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6.57University of Michigan-1.342.1%1st Place
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4.21Purdue University-0.4911.2%1st Place
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5.43Marquette University-0.635.2%1st Place
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6.11Michigan Technological University-1.084.2%1st Place
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3.43University of Wisconsin0.7019.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Bray | 12.7% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 18.3% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Nithya Balachander | 27.2% | 24.1% | 17.9% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 22.0% | 43.6% |
| Nok In Chan | 11.2% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 4.5% |
| Eva Paschke | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 18.9% | 22.5% | 15.3% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 26.1% | 31.2% |
| Mary Castellini | 19.2% | 16.7% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.