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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.97+4.17vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+3.12vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.38+0.18vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.73+1.11vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.690.00vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.39+0.30vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.41-0.93vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-0.40vs Predicted
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10McGill University1.36+0.69vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.36+2.40vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.80-6.02vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.24-2.10vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.16-5.99vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.39-4.44vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.63-3.40vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University-0.43-2.87vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut-0.48-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.12Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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4.18Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.11Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
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6.0Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.3Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.07Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.1%1st Place
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10.69McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
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13.4Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
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5.98University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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10.9University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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8.01Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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10.56University of Rhode Island1.390.0%1st Place
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12.6Connecticut College0.630.0%1st Place
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15.13Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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15.17University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 13.0% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 17.4% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Claire Huebner | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Mete Sayin | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 19.3% | 10.5% |
| Thomas Harden | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Connelly | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Phillip Rosenthall | 0.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 7.0% |
| David Tampellini | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 24.9% | 38.5% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 25.1% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.