← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.38+3.06vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.41+4.86vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.69+3.10vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.73+2.06vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.68+0.11vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.39+0.17vs Predicted
-
8Boston University2.97-2.70vs Predicted
-
9McGill University1.36+1.12vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-1.52vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.80-5.17vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island1.39-3.00vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University2.16-6.29vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College0.63-2.96vs Predicted
-
16University of New Hampshire1.24-5.55vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University-2.33-1.38vs Predicted
-
18University of Connecticut-0.48-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.06Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
-
6.86Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
-
6.1Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
-
6.06Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
-
6.11Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
-
7.17Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
-
5.3Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
-
10.12McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
-
8.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
-
5.83University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
-
10.0University of Rhode Island1.390.0%1st Place
-
7.71Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
-
12.04Connecticut College0.630.0%1st Place
-
10.45University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
-
15.62Salve Regina University-2.330.0%1st Place
-
14.1University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Beatty | 19.8% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Huebner | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 8.1% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.3% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 12.4% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mete Sayin | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 5.2% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Harden | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Connelly | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 4.6% | 0.3% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Rosenthall | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 28.0% | 17.7% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 6.2% | 0.3% |
| Sean Morrissey | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 8.6% | 85.6% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 14.3% | 54.1% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.