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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.26+2.89vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.74+6.79vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.10+4.57vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.37+2.63vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.70+3.81vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.14-1.59vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.80+1.62vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.61+1.07vs Predicted
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9McGill University1.00+2.54vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.16-2.72vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-3.32vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.10-4.51vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.76-4.12vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.10-2.84vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.49-5.34vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University-0.40-3.24vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut-2.56-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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8.79University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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7.57Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
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6.63Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.81Brown University1.700.0%1st Place
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4.41Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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8.62University of Vermont1.800.0%1st Place
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9.07Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.54McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.28University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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7.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.49Roger Williams University2.100.1%1st Place
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8.88Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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11.16Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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9.66Yale University1.490.0%1st Place
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14.76Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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16.77University of Connecticut-2.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Tong | 23.5% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sabourin | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Neal | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sharpe | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McCoy | 15.4% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Hicks | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Matteo Alampi | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Markus Suorsa | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 18.0% | 11.3% | 0.9% |
| Sam Rush | 6.1% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Estes | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 9.0% | 0.3% |
| Charles Skoda | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 55.5% | 9.6% |
| Dillon McManus | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 7.7% | 88.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.