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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.10+6.34vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.80+6.56vs Predicted
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3McGill University1.00+8.33vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.74+4.92vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.76+3.55vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.16+1.50vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.37-0.44vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.26-4.01vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.49+0.92vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.70-1.12vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.10-3.30vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.61-2.71vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-5.44vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.14-9.68vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.10-4.96vs Predicted
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17Sacred Heart University-0.40-2.25vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut-2.56-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
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8.56University of Vermont1.800.0%1st Place
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11.33McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.92University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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8.55Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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7.5University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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6.56Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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3.99Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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9.92Yale University1.490.0%1st Place
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8.88Brown University1.700.0%1st Place
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7.7Roger Williams University2.100.1%1st Place
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9.29Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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7.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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4.32Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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11.04Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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14.75Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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16.78University of Connecticut-2.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Sabourin | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Hicks | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Markus Suorsa | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 17.9% | 10.3% | 0.9% |
| James Amaral | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Julia Leighton | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rush | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Neal | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Tong | 21.7% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Skoda | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Henry Sharpe | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Estes | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Matteo Alampi | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 16.8% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 8.6% | 0.5% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 12.8% | 54.9% | 9.7% |
| Dillon McManus | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 8.3% | 88.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.