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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.16+6.17vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.26+1.86vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.10+4.54vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.37+2.66vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.61+4.15vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.10+1.72vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+0.58vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.80+0.46vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.14-5.63vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.76-2.36vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.74-3.01vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.70-4.01vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.49-4.11vs Predicted
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15Sacred Heart University-0.40-0.28vs Predicted
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16McGill University1.00-4.66vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.10-5.88vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut-2.56-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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3.86Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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7.54Roger Williams University2.100.1%1st Place
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6.66Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.15Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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7.72Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Vermont1.800.1%1st Place
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4.37Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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8.64Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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8.99University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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8.99Brown University1.700.0%1st Place
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9.89Yale University1.490.0%1st Place
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14.72Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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11.34McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
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11.12Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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16.79University of Connecticut-2.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Rush | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Tong | 21.3% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Estes | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Neal | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matteo Alampi | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sabourin | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Hicks | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 15.5% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sharpe | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Charles Skoda | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 0.4% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 56.2% | 8.9% |
| Markus Suorsa | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 19.5% | 10.3% | 0.4% |
| Lucie Ford | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 8.4% | 0.6% |
| Dillon McManus | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 7.6% | 89.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.