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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.26+2.91vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.37+4.62vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.80+5.79vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.10+3.67vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.16+2.28vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.49+4.06vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.76+1.90vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.10-0.49vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.61+0.61vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.74-1.13vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.70-1.80vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-4.41vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.14-8.60vs Predicted
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14McGill University1.00-2.28vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.10-3.78vs Predicted
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17Sacred Heart University-0.40-1.73vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut0.00-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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6.62Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Vermont1.800.0%1st Place
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7.67Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
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7.28University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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10.06Yale University1.490.0%1st Place
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8.9Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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7.51Roger Williams University2.100.1%1st Place
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9.61Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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8.87University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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9.2Brown University1.700.0%1st Place
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7.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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4.4Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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11.72McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
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11.22Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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15.27Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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14.39University of Connecticut0.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Tong | 22.0% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Neal | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Hicks | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Michael Sabourin | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rush | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Charles Skoda | 3.9% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 1.5% |
| Julia Leighton | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Nathaniel Estes | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Matteo Alampi | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| James Amaral | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Henry Sharpe | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McCoy | 15.9% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Markus Suorsa | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 5.4% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 5.1% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 19.3% | 51.0% |
| Michael Connolly | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 25.5% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.