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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.36+2.54vs Predicted
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2Indiana University1.19+0.71vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.16+0.86vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.70-0.48vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.49-0.75vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.34+0.56vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.63-1.61vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-1.08-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54University of Wisconsin0.3617.4%1st Place
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2.71Indiana University1.1929.6%1st Place
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3.86Northwestern University0.1613.1%1st Place
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3.52University of Wisconsin0.7017.1%1st Place
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4.25Purdue University-0.4910.7%1st Place
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6.56University of Michigan-1.342.5%1st Place
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5.39Marquette University-0.635.7%1st Place
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6.18Michigan Technological University-1.083.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Tegeder | 17.4% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 1.0% |
| Nithya Balachander | 29.6% | 23.6% | 18.0% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Grace Bray | 13.1% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Mary Castellini | 17.1% | 18.1% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 10.3% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Nok In Chan | 10.7% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 10.4% | 4.5% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 22.9% | 43.6% |
| Eva Paschke | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 19.9% | 21.1% | 15.8% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 26.2% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.