← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+6.39vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.26+1.98vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont1.80+5.74vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.37+2.72vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University3.14-0.82vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.10+1.81vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire1.74+1.97vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.61+1.21vs Predicted
-
9Brown University1.70+0.33vs Predicted
-
10Boston University2.10-2.43vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.16-3.42vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College1.76-3.11vs Predicted
-
13McGill University1.00-1.29vs Predicted
-
14Yale University1.49-4.00vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University1.10-3.78vs Predicted
-
16University of Connecticut0.00-1.55vs Predicted
-
18Sacred Heart University-0.40-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
-
3.98Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
-
8.74University of Vermont1.800.0%1st Place
-
6.72Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
-
4.18Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
-
7.81Roger Williams University2.100.1%1st Place
-
8.97University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
-
9.21Northeastern University1.610.1%1st Place
-
9.33Brown University1.700.0%1st Place
-
7.57Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
-
7.58University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
-
8.89Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
-
11.71McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
-
10.0Yale University1.490.0%1st Place
-
11.22Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
-
14.45University of Connecticut0.000.0%1st Place
-
15.27Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bowen | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Tong | 19.6% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Hicks | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Peter Neal | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 19.3% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Estes | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Matteo Alampi | 5.0% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Henry Sharpe | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Michael Sabourin | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Sam Rush | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Julia Leighton | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Markus Suorsa | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 6.6% |
| Charles Skoda | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| Lucie Ford | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 4.6% |
| Michael Connolly | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 28.7% | 30.2% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 19.8% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.