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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.80+7.52vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.49+7.79vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.10+4.62vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.37+2.73vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.61+4.23vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.14-1.60vs Predicted
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7McGill University1.00+4.60vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.26-3.98vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire1.74+0.17vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-2.47vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.16-3.45vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.76-3.13vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.10-1.63vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.70-4.70vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.10-7.42vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut0.00-1.54vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University-0.40-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.52University of Vermont1.800.1%1st Place
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9.79Yale University1.490.0%1st Place
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7.62Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
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6.73Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.23Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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4.4Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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11.6McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
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4.02Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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9.17University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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7.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.55University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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8.87Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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11.37Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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9.3Brown University1.700.0%1st Place
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7.58Roger Williams University2.100.1%1st Place
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14.46University of Connecticut0.000.0%1st Place
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15.26Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Hicks | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Charles Skoda | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Michael Sabourin | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Peter Neal | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matteo Alampi | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Jackson McCoy | 15.5% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Markus Suorsa | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 4.7% |
| Alexander Tong | 21.6% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Alexander Bowen | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Sam Rush | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Julia Leighton | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 5.2% |
| Henry Sharpe | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Nathaniel Estes | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Michael Connolly | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 28.4% | 30.5% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 18.6% | 52.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.