Race 2A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Rachel Bryer 20.9% 16.1% 16.6% 12.0% 10.8% 8.4% 6.3% 4.5% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Scott Barbano 13.6% 15.4% 12.2% 11.1% 12.1% 10.6% 7.9% 6.1% 5.6% 2.8% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Cameron Loncoski 4.1% 3.9% 5.7% 6.8% 7.2% 7.1% 8.8% 8.7% 11.5% 13.7% 11.4% 9.1% 2.0%
Wade Waddell 12.3% 11.9% 12.9% 12.2% 9.3% 9.8% 9.4% 8.1% 6.4% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.3%
William Crary 8.8% 8.2% 9.1% 9.5% 8.7% 9.6% 10.4% 9.6% 10.0% 6.6% 5.8% 3.2% 0.5%
Hugh MacGillivray 11.1% 12.0% 11.5% 10.7% 9.7% 10.7% 8.8% 8.9% 6.2% 5.8% 2.9% 1.5% 0.2%
Sean Beaulieu 4.7% 4.8% 4.5% 5.9% 6.4% 5.9% 7.0% 9.1% 9.8% 11.3% 15.7% 11.7% 3.2%
John Wehner 4.5% 6.4% 5.1% 6.2% 5.6% 7.1% 10.2% 10.0% 10.8% 11.9% 11.7% 7.9% 2.6%
Josh Dochoda 7.2% 8.1% 8.0% 9.9% 9.4% 10.2% 10.0% 10.3% 8.8% 8.1% 5.5% 3.8% 0.7%
Matthew Lyons 8.1% 7.5% 7.8% 8.2% 9.6% 9.3% 9.7% 9.8% 8.7% 8.1% 7.8% 4.3% 1.1%
Jennifer Lee 1.2% 0.9% 1.3% 2.2% 3.0% 3.0% 3.2% 5.1% 5.6% 8.2% 12.6% 31.4% 22.3%
Amy Macdonald 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 1.6% 1.7% 0.8% 2.0% 3.3% 3.9% 6.5% 14.1% 63.9%
Frank Reeg 3.0% 4.3% 4.6% 4.8% 6.6% 6.6% 7.5% 7.8% 11.0% 13.4% 15.6% 11.7% 3.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.