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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.36+2.48vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-1.34+4.53vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.70+0.47vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-1.08+2.14vs Predicted
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5Indiana University1.19-2.24vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.16-2.04vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.63-1.56vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-0.49-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48University of Wisconsin0.3617.3%1st Place
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6.53University of Michigan-1.342.6%1st Place
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3.47University of Wisconsin0.7018.1%1st Place
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6.14Michigan Technological University-1.083.8%1st Place
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2.76Indiana University1.1928.6%1st Place
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3.96Northwestern University0.1612.6%1st Place
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5.44Marquette University-0.636.1%1st Place
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4.21Purdue University-0.4910.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Tegeder | 17.3% | 18.2% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 21.4% | 44.2% |
| Mary Castellini | 18.1% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 14.8% | 25.1% | 31.3% |
| Nithya Balachander | 28.6% | 22.4% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Grace Bray | 12.6% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| Eva Paschke | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 17.9% | 23.9% | 15.8% |
| Nok In Chan | 10.9% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 10.7% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.