Race 6B

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Drake Lyon 10.5% 10.5% 11.0% 11.1% 13.3% 11.1% 10.2% 9.7% 6.8% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Carter Pemberton 11.0% 13.2% 12.3% 13.2% 10.2% 9.7% 10.8% 9.9% 4.9% 3.0% 1.8% 0.0%
Dakota Northrup 15.5% 15.7% 14.2% 12.7% 11.7% 10.3% 9.3% 5.6% 3.0% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Collin Alexander 8.2% 10.5% 10.7% 12.5% 11.0% 10.6% 10.6% 9.2% 9.4% 5.2% 1.5% 0.6%
John Rolander 22.4% 21.3% 16.5% 10.9% 11.4% 6.9% 4.5% 3.5% 1.4% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Vasiliou 8.4% 7.0% 8.8% 10.4% 9.9% 11.9% 11.3% 11.1% 10.4% 6.5% 3.6% 0.7%
Chris Colbeth 3.6% 3.7% 3.2% 4.9% 6.2% 6.0% 7.5% 9.0% 14.2% 15.7% 17.1% 8.9%
Kyle Brego 3.5% 3.6% 4.2% 4.9% 5.5% 6.2% 6.7% 10.2% 13.7% 16.1% 16.0% 9.4%
Jack Gould 2.0% 2.3% 2.9% 3.8% 2.4% 6.6% 8.9% 10.4% 12.2% 17.7% 19.6% 11.2%
Jan Kite-Powell 11.3% 9.2% 12.6% 10.2% 11.7% 11.5% 11.7% 8.4% 7.5% 3.2% 2.3% 0.4%
Jennifer Killian 3.1% 1.7% 2.6% 4.2% 5.1% 7.0% 6.3% 9.3% 12.3% 18.2% 17.9% 12.3%
Allison Fusaro 0.5% 1.3% 1.0% 1.2% 1.6% 2.2% 2.2% 3.7% 4.2% 6.9% 18.9% 56.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.