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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University1.19+1.85vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.70+1.48vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.36+0.45vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.49+0.21vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.16-1.11vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.34+0.56vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.63-1.62vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-1.08-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85Indiana University1.1926.2%1st Place
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3.48University of Wisconsin0.7017.7%1st Place
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3.45University of Wisconsin0.3618.6%1st Place
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4.21Purdue University-0.4911.5%1st Place
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3.89Northwestern University0.1613.9%1st Place
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6.56University of Michigan-1.342.6%1st Place
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5.38Marquette University-0.636.1%1st Place
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6.17Michigan Technological University-1.083.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Balachander | 26.2% | 23.5% | 18.1% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Mary Castellini | 17.7% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 18.4% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 18.6% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Nok In Chan | 11.5% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 10.7% | 3.3% |
| Grace Bray | 13.9% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 2.3% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 22.5% | 43.5% |
| Eva Paschke | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 18.3% | 21.6% | 15.9% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 25.7% | 32.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.