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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.61+4.50vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+6.74vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.76+5.86vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.08+7.38vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.50+4.74vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.36+4.38vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.68+2.00vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+1.29vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.76-0.36vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.29+0.89vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-0.97vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.53-2.01vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University4.51-7.41vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.35+0.01vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.67-6.06vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.52-6.32vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.50-7.07vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-7.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5College of Charleston4.610.1%1st Place
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8.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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8.86Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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11.38Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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9.74Boston College3.500.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Hawaii3.360.0%1st Place
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9.0Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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9.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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8.64Dartmouth College3.760.1%1st Place
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10.89Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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10.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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9.99Yale University3.530.0%1st Place
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5.59Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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14.01University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
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8.94Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.68Brown University3.520.0%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Naval Academy3.500.1%1st Place
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10.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Blecher | 13.2% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Megan Magill | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% |
| Stephanie Roble | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Eliza Richartz | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% |
| Emily Maxwell | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Caroline Patten | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Rebecca Dellenbaugh | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% |
| Mayumi Roller | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Sarah Lihan | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Sydney Bolger | 13.1% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christina Baker | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 13.0% | 35.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Christina Pryne | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.