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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.76+6.36vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.03+4.13vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.14+3.42vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.30+5.21vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.14+4.52vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.40+6.35vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.09-0.87vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.09-1.84vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.87-2.24vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.51-0.70vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-3.13vs Predicted
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12Yale University0.40+0.52vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.59-4.85vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-2.89vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.00-4.23vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.00-5.79vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.62-1.77vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University-0.79-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.36Brown University1.767.0%1st Place
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6.13Yale University2.0312.1%1st Place
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6.42Brown University2.148.9%1st Place
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9.21University of Rhode Island1.304.9%1st Place
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9.52Dartmouth College1.144.2%1st Place
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12.35Boston University0.402.2%1st Place
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6.13Boston College2.0911.2%1st Place
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6.16Roger Williams University2.0911.3%1st Place
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6.76Harvard University1.877.8%1st Place
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9.3Bowdoin College1.514.8%1st Place
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7.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.626.7%1st Place
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12.52Yale University0.401.7%1st Place
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8.15Tufts University1.596.5%1st Place
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11.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.882.5%1st Place
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10.77Connecticut College1.003.1%1st Place
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10.21Northeastern University1.003.9%1st Place
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15.23University of Vermont-0.620.7%1st Place
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15.79Salve Regina University-0.790.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Brock | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Carly Kieding | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Lamm | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Turner Ryon | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Peter Stewart | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 7.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 11.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Posner | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| William Kulas | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Wahlig | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 7.2% |
| Gus Macaulay | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| William Hurd | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Begin | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 22.7% | 32.8% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 20.2% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.