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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.53+5.48vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.50+4.64vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.93+5.87vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74+2.05vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+1.68vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.48+0.98vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.28+0.65vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.20-0.27vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.68+1.03vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-3.63vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.87-1.74vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.05-0.01vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.92-3.96vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.91-4.89vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.42-1.22vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.53-5.58vs Predicted
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17William and Mary0.31-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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6.64Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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8.87University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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6.05Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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6.98Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.65Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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7.73College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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10.03U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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6.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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9.26Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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11.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.050.0%1st Place
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9.04Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.11Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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13.78University of South Florida1.420.0%1st Place
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10.42Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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15.93William and Mary0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Adler | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Maxwell | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mayumi Roller | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Burke | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Caroline Patten | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Jaimie Chicoine | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 17.6% | 18.6% | 5.4% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Casey Bowles-Jenner | 0.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 31.9% | 18.5% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 2.5% |
| Meghan Tamminen | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 13.6% | 67.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.