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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.93+7.70vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.53+4.52vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+2.93vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+2.94vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+1.31vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.50+0.96vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.92+1.93vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.20-0.26vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.91+0.13vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.48-3.24vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.68-1.08vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.050.00vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.53-2.51vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.28-6.33vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.87-5.86vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.42-2.10vs Predicted
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17William and Mary0.31-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.7University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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6.52Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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5.93Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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6.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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6.96Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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8.93Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.74College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.13Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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6.76Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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12.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.050.0%1st Place
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10.49Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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7.67Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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9.14Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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13.9University of South Florida1.420.0%1st Place
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15.95William and Mary0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Jennifer Adler | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mayumi Roller | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Patten | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sara Burke | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 1.5% |
| Jaimie Chicoine | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 5.9% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 2.9% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Casey Bowles-Jenner | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 14.0% | 30.7% | 18.4% |
| Meghan Tamminen | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 14.0% | 68.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.