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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.38+4.18vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.60+2.52vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+4.75vs Predicted
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4Duke University1.38+4.35vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.70-0.55vs Predicted
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6University of Florida2.20-0.24vs Predicted
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7Florida State University2.08-0.91vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.89+1.94vs Predicted
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9Clemson University1.88-2.31vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+0.58vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.82-4.04vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina1.32-3.20vs Predicted
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13Florida State University2.08-6.91vs Predicted
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14Rollins College0.44-2.66vs Predicted
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15University of Georgia0.85-5.02vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-0.78-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.52College of Charleston2.600.2%1st Place
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7.75Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.1%1st Place
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8.35Duke University1.380.0%1st Place
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4.45Eckerd College2.700.2%1st Place
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5.76University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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6.09Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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9.94North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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6.69Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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10.58University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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6.96University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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8.8University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
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6.09Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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11.34Rollins College0.440.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
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13.6Auburn University-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lawless | 13.1% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Dahl | 16.2% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Pescini | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 16.0% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nelson Millett | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 16.1% | 21.4% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Allison Chenard | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Brent DeAngelis | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 12.6% | 62.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.