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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Florida2.20+4.53vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.70+2.13vs Predicted
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3University of Georgia0.85+6.78vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.15+1.76vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.60-0.43vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.89+3.76vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+0.71vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.88-1.36vs Predicted
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9Duke University1.38-0.80vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina1.32-1.46vs Predicted
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11Florida State University2.08-4.95vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.82-4.98vs Predicted
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13Rollins College0.44-1.81vs Predicted
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14Florida State University2.08-7.95vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.19-3.35vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-0.78-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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4.13Eckerd College2.700.2%1st Place
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9.78University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
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5.76Jacksonville University2.150.1%1st Place
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4.57College of Charleston2.600.2%1st Place
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9.76North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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7.71Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.1%1st Place
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6.64Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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8.2Duke University1.380.0%1st Place
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8.54University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
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6.05Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.02University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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11.19Rollins College0.440.0%1st Place
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6.05Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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11.65University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.190.0%1st Place
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13.49Auburn University-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Famiglietti | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 18.5% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison Chenard | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Steo | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Dahl | 16.1% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Pescini | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 3.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nelson Millett | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 20.6% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ashlyn Park | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 24.3% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
| Brent DeAngelis | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 16.9% | 55.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.