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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.15+4.68vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.60+2.40vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.70+1.19vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.82+2.78vs Predicted
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5University of Florida2.20+0.73vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+1.74vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University0.89+2.69vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.44+3.04vs Predicted
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9Clemson University1.88-2.48vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia0.85-0.06vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.19+0.68vs Predicted
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12Florida State University2.08-5.78vs Predicted
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13Duke University1.38-4.54vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina1.32-5.59vs Predicted
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15Florida State University2.08-8.78vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-0.78-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Jacksonville University2.150.1%1st Place
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4.4College of Charleston2.600.2%1st Place
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4.19Eckerd College2.700.2%1st Place
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6.78University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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7.74Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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9.69North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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11.04Rollins College0.440.0%1st Place
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6.52Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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9.94University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
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11.68University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.190.0%1st Place
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6.22Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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8.46Duke University1.380.0%1st Place
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8.41University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
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6.22Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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13.5Auburn University-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Steo | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Dahl | 16.1% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 17.5% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Nelson Millett | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 20.5% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Allison Chenard | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Ashlyn Park | 1.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 24.0% | 18.2% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Pescini | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brent DeAngelis | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 16.0% | 57.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.