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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.60+3.30vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.89+7.14vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+4.34vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.15+1.58vs Predicted
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5Duke University1.38+2.98vs Predicted
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6Florida State University2.08-0.12vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.09-1.51vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.82-1.52vs Predicted
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9University of Florida2.20-3.56vs Predicted
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10Clemson University1.88-3.58vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.44-0.36vs Predicted
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12Florida State University2.08-6.12vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina1.32-4.90vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia0.85-4.61vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-0.78-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3College of Charleston2.600.2%1st Place
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9.14North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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7.34Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.1%1st Place
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5.58Jacksonville University2.150.1%1st Place
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7.98Duke University1.380.0%1st Place
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5.88Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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5.49Eckerd College2.090.1%1st Place
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6.48University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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5.44University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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6.42Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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10.64Rollins College0.440.0%1st Place
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5.88Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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8.1University of South Carolina1.320.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
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12.81Auburn University-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Dahl | 17.4% | 17.8% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Steo | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Pescini | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Chafee | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nelson Millett | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 15.8% | 24.6% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Allison Chenard | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Brent DeAngelis | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 64.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.