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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.67+2.73vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.34+2.36vs Predicted
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3University of Florida2.38+1.35vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.88+1.70vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04+2.95vs Predicted
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6Duke University1.25+1.41vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-0.81vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.08-2.90vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.11+1.54vs Predicted
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10Florida State University0.50-0.62vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.44-4.13vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina1.25-4.61vs Predicted
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13Florida State University0.50-3.62vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-1.64-1.32vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-2.37-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73College of Charleston2.670.2%1st Place
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4.36Eckerd College2.340.2%1st Place
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4.35University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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5.7Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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7.95University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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7.41Duke University1.250.1%1st Place
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6.19Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.1%1st Place
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5.1University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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10.54Rollins College-0.110.0%1st Place
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9.38Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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6.87North Carolina State University1.440.1%1st Place
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7.39University of South Carolina1.250.0%1st Place
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9.38Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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12.68University of Georgia-1.640.0%1st Place
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13.35Auburn University-2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikki Medley | 20.9% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Normington | 15.4% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 14.7% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 7.3% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Savacool | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 10.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 6.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Conner Killham | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Thompson | 11.6% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chad Murray | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 16.8% | 33.1% | 15.5% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 22.0% | 6.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Travis Tucker | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackey Leventis | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 22.0% | 6.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Timothy DeWitt | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 9.2% | 47.7% | 31.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Martin | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 25.3% | 64.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.