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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.67+2.70vs Predicted
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2Duke University1.25+5.13vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.88+2.62vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.34+0.48vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04+2.98vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.08-0.75vs Predicted
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7University of Florida2.38-2.79vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-1.58vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.44-2.05vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-0.11+0.59vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina1.25-3.59vs Predicted
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12Florida State University0.50-2.75vs Predicted
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13Florida State University0.50-3.75vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-1.64-1.34vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-2.37-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7College of Charleston2.670.2%1st Place
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7.13Duke University1.250.0%1st Place
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5.62Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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4.48Eckerd College2.340.1%1st Place
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7.98University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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5.25University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Florida2.380.2%1st Place
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6.42Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.1%1st Place
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6.95North Carolina State University1.440.1%1st Place
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10.59Rollins College-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.41University of South Carolina1.250.0%1st Place
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9.25Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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9.25Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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12.66University of Georgia-1.640.0%1st Place
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13.35Auburn University-2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikki Medley | 21.1% | 19.4% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Normington | 14.0% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Savacool | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Thompson | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 16.7% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Killham | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Tucker | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chad Murray | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 34.2% | 15.7% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Mackey Leventis | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 21.0% | 17.5% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 21.0% | 17.5% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Timothy DeWitt | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 11.2% | 46.5% | 30.8% | 0.0% |
| Edward Martin | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 5.0% | 25.9% | 64.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.