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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Florida2.38+3.28vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.08+2.85vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.67+0.60vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.88+1.61vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.34-0.48vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology1.58+0.47vs Predicted
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7Duke University1.25+0.04vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.11+2.31vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.50+0.18vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.44-3.14vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina1.25-3.75vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61-3.12vs Predicted
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13Florida State University0.50-3.82vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-1.96-1.13vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-2.37-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28University of Florida2.380.2%1st Place
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4.85University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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3.6College of Charleston2.670.2%1st Place
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5.61Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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4.52Eckerd College2.340.1%1st Place
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6.47Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.1%1st Place
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7.04Duke University1.250.1%1st Place
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10.31Rollins College-0.110.0%1st Place
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9.18Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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6.86North Carolina State University1.440.1%1st Place
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7.25University of South Carolina1.250.1%1st Place
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8.88University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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9.18Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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12.87University of Georgia-1.960.0%1st Place
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13.26Auburn University-2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Armington | 15.8% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Thompson | 12.9% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikki Medley | 21.3% | 18.8% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Normington | 11.8% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Killham | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chad Murray | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 32.1% | 14.6% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 21.3% | 16.7% | 4.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Travis Tucker | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackey Leventis | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jones | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 21.3% | 16.7% | 4.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Erica Trotter | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 8.4% | 44.3% | 37.8% | 0.0% |
| Edward Martin | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 7.0% | 29.6% | 58.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.