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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Samuel Armington 15.8% 14.9% 15.1% 12.2% 10.1% 11.5% 7.5% 5.5% 3.3% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Thompson 12.9% 12.4% 11.4% 11.9% 11.1% 11.4% 9.6% 8.5% 5.3% 2.7% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nikki Medley 21.3% 18.8% 15.5% 12.9% 10.6% 8.1% 6.0% 3.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephan VerHulst 8.6% 9.2% 10.6% 10.2% 9.9% 12.5% 10.9% 8.9% 8.7% 5.6% 3.7% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Normington 11.8% 14.5% 14.3% 13.0% 13.8% 9.6% 8.3% 6.9% 3.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conner Killham 6.6% 6.5% 8.2% 7.0% 10.0% 10.8% 10.2% 10.8% 10.3% 9.4% 7.1% 2.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Elizabeth O'Connor 5.2% 6.7% 6.1% 6.9% 7.7% 7.4% 9.9% 12.0% 11.4% 11.6% 9.1% 5.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Chad Murray 1.2% 1.1% 2.6% 2.6% 2.3% 2.9% 3.8% 4.1% 6.1% 8.9% 15.1% 32.1% 14.6% 2.6% 0.0%
Rafael Melendez 2.9% 2.5% 2.2% 2.5% 3.0% 4.7% 5.9% 7.2% 10.5% 15.4% 21.3% 16.7% 4.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Travis Tucker 5.7% 5.4% 6.3% 8.2% 8.6% 7.7% 11.4% 12.0% 11.5% 11.0% 8.1% 3.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Mackey Leventis 5.0% 5.0% 4.3% 8.3% 8.1% 8.4% 8.8% 10.8% 12.6% 11.8% 10.1% 5.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Alex Jones 2.3% 2.5% 3.0% 3.8% 4.2% 4.4% 6.9% 8.8% 12.9% 14.6% 16.1% 15.6% 4.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Rafael Melendez 2.9% 2.5% 2.2% 2.5% 3.0% 4.7% 5.9% 7.2% 10.5% 15.4% 21.3% 16.7% 4.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Erica Trotter 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 2.4% 3.3% 8.4% 44.3% 37.8% 0.0%
Edward Martin 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 7.0% 29.6% 58.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.