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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.67+2.62vs Predicted
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2University of Florida2.38+2.13vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology1.58+3.41vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.08+1.06vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.34-0.48vs Predicted
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6Duke University1.25+1.33vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.88-1.69vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.44-1.34vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61-0.09vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina1.25-2.69vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.50-1.84vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.11-1.58vs Predicted
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13Florida State University0.50-3.84vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-1.96-1.12vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-2.37-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62College of Charleston2.670.2%1st Place
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4.13University of Florida2.380.2%1st Place
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6.41Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.1%1st Place
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5.06University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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4.52Eckerd College2.340.1%1st Place
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7.33Duke University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.31Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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6.66North Carolina State University1.440.1%1st Place
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8.91University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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7.31University of South Carolina1.250.0%1st Place
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9.16Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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10.42Rollins College-0.110.0%1st Place
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9.16Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Georgia-1.960.0%1st Place
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13.27Auburn University-2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikki Medley | 21.2% | 20.1% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 16.5% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Killham | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Thompson | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Normington | 11.8% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Tucker | 6.9% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jones | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 4.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mackey Leventis | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 19.8% | 19.3% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Chad Murray | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 17.2% | 33.0% | 12.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 19.8% | 19.3% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Erica Trotter | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 8.3% | 44.2% | 38.6% | 0.0% |
| Edward Martin | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 30.9% | 58.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.