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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Florida2.38+3.06vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.67+1.39vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.34+1.15vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.87+1.28vs Predicted
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5Duke University1.25+1.98vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.08-1.15vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.44-0.85vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina1.25-1.18vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61-0.44vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-0.15+0.32vs Predicted
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11Rollins College-0.11-0.81vs Predicted
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12Florida State University0.50-3.19vs Predicted
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13Florida State University0.50-4.19vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-1.96-1.00vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-1.48-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06University of Florida2.380.2%1st Place
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3.39College of Charleston2.670.2%1st Place
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4.15Eckerd College2.340.2%1st Place
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5.28Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
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6.98Duke University1.250.0%1st Place
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4.85University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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6.15North Carolina State University1.440.1%1st Place
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6.82University of South Carolina1.250.1%1st Place
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8.56University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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10.32Georgia Institute of Technology-0.150.0%1st Place
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10.19Rollins College-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.81Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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8.81Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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13.0University of Georgia-1.960.0%1st Place
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12.44Auburn University-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Armington | 16.0% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikki Medley | 22.9% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Normington | 15.7% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hidley | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Thompson | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Tucker | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackey Leventis | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jones | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Yapp | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 24.1% | 14.5% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Chad Murray | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 18.1% | 21.7% | 15.5% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Erica Trotter | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 8.4% | 21.6% | 58.5% | 0.0% |
| Kirsten Failing | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 37.7% | 32.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.