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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.08+3.68vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.87+3.07vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.44+3.35vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.67-0.48vs Predicted
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5University of Florida2.38-0.82vs Predicted
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6Duke University1.25+1.01vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+1.26vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.34-3.83vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina1.25-2.05vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-0.15+0.36vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.50-2.18vs Predicted
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12Florida State University0.50-3.18vs Predicted
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13Rollins College-0.11-2.83vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-1.96-1.00vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-1.48-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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5.07Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
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6.35North Carolina State University1.440.1%1st Place
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3.52College of Charleston2.670.2%1st Place
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4.18University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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7.01Duke University1.250.0%1st Place
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8.26University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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4.17Eckerd College2.340.2%1st Place
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6.95University of South Carolina1.250.1%1st Place
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10.36Georgia Institute of Technology-0.150.0%1st Place
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8.82Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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8.82Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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10.17Rollins College-0.110.0%1st Place
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13.0University of Georgia-1.960.0%1st Place
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12.46Auburn University-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Thompson | 12.5% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hidley | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Tucker | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikki Medley | 20.6% | 19.9% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 13.5% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jones | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Normington | 16.3% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackey Leventis | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Yapp | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 24.2% | 15.8% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Chad Murray | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 22.0% | 13.7% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Trotter | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 22.6% | 58.3% | 0.0% |
| Kirsten Failing | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 37.7% | 32.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.