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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.34+3.42vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.08+2.93vs Predicted
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3Duke University1.25+4.37vs Predicted
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4University of Florida2.38+0.43vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina1.25+2.43vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology1.58+0.60vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.44-0.35vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.67-4.23vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.50+0.38vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.87-4.27vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.50-1.62vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04-4.01vs Predicted
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13Rollins College-0.11-2.31vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-1.64-1.12vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-1.48-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Eckerd College2.340.1%1st Place
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4.93University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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7.37Duke University1.250.1%1st Place
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4.43University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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7.43University of South Carolina1.250.0%1st Place
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6.6Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.1%1st Place
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6.65North Carolina State University1.440.1%1st Place
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3.77College of Charleston2.670.2%1st Place
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9.38Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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5.73Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
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9.38Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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7.99University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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10.69Rollins College-0.110.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Georgia-1.640.0%1st Place
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12.74Auburn University-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Normington | 15.0% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Thompson | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 13.6% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackey Leventis | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Conner Killham | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Travis Tucker | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikki Medley | 20.4% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 14.5% | 19.7% | 18.2% | 7.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hidley | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 14.5% | 19.7% | 18.2% | 7.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Savacool | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Chad Murray | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 15.8% | 28.9% | 17.9% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Timothy DeWitt | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 9.6% | 28.3% | 50.3% | 0.0% |
| Kirsten Failing | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 10.3% | 36.8% | 40.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.