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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgia Institute of Technology1.58+5.39vs Predicted
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2University of Florida2.38+2.21vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04+4.87vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.34+0.54vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.44+1.92vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.11+4.72vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.08-2.06vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.67-4.26vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.87-3.17vs Predicted
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10Florida State University0.50-0.60vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina1.25-3.60vs Predicted
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12Duke University1.25-4.61vs Predicted
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13Florida State University0.50-3.60vs Predicted
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14Auburn University-1.48-1.30vs Predicted
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15University of Georgia-1.64-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Florida2.380.2%1st Place
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7.87University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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4.54Eckerd College2.340.1%1st Place
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6.92North Carolina State University1.440.0%1st Place
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10.72Rollins College-0.110.0%1st Place
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4.94University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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3.74College of Charleston2.670.2%1st Place
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5.83Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
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9.4Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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7.4University of South Carolina1.250.0%1st Place
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7.39Duke University1.250.0%1st Place
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9.4Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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12.7Auburn University-1.480.0%1st Place
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12.91University of Georgia-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conner Killham | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 17.1% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Savacool | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Normington | 12.3% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Tucker | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chad Murray | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 30.3% | 19.0% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Thompson | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikki Medley | 20.3% | 19.0% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hidley | 9.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 19.7% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Mackey Leventis | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 19.7% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Kirsten Failing | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 35.3% | 41.7% | 0.0% |
| Timothy DeWitt | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 10.5% | 29.5% | 49.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.