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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.89+7.31vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.63+3.91vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.39+3.76vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-0.60vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.41+1.90vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.68-0.06vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.84+1.58vs Predicted
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8Bates College2.43+1.98vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.07-1.10vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College1.53+2.42vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.51-4.47vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut2.51-1.99vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.23-5.38vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.32-1.16vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University3.36-8.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.31Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
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5.91Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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6.76University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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3.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.3%1st Place
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6.9Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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5.94Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.58Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.98Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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7.9University of Rhode Island3.070.0%1st Place
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12.42Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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6.53Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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10.01University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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7.62Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.84Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
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6.91Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Goodrich | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Daniel Perkins | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Ingham | 25.6% | 18.3% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Meleney | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Maggie Shea | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 6.7% |
| Weston Barlow | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 21.4% | 33.2% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Sean Andrew | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 7.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Lucas Campbell | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 18.5% | 42.9% |
| Kyle Carney | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.