Race 1A

toni-deutsch

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charlotte List 5.6% 4.4% 5.8% 6.8% 7.4% 7.3% 6.6% 7.2% 8.5% 8.9% 11.6% 10.9% 9.0%
Lindsey Baab 10.3% 10.6% 10.1% 10.7% 9.8% 10.3% 8.6% 7.1% 6.4% 6.7% 4.7% 3.2% 1.5%
Annie Hughes 4.9% 7.5% 7.8% 9.3% 6.3% 6.8% 8.2% 8.1% 9.1% 10.7% 7.9% 7.6% 5.8%
Lydia Grasberger 7.8% 7.3% 7.7% 9.6% 7.7% 7.5% 8.1% 7.3% 8.7% 9.1% 8.0% 6.8% 4.4%
Sarah Hermus 13.9% 13.9% 12.1% 8.6% 10.1% 9.9% 8.0% 7.0% 5.7% 4.2% 3.9% 2.0% 0.7%
Lindsay Doyle 6.9% 5.5% 6.1% 6.5% 7.4% 6.7% 8.0% 8.4% 8.6% 8.7% 9.0% 10.5% 7.7%
Casey Klingler 10.7% 9.6% 9.1% 7.9% 8.5% 10.1% 7.5% 9.6% 7.7% 6.4% 6.6% 3.9% 2.4%
Taylor Gavula 6.0% 7.3% 5.9% 7.3% 6.5% 8.9% 8.1% 7.9% 9.5% 8.5% 8.9% 8.2% 7.0%
Allyson Donahue 12.4% 12.0% 12.9% 10.1% 9.8% 8.6% 8.4% 7.4% 6.0% 4.4% 4.0% 2.7% 1.3%
Mary Paz 6.1% 5.0% 4.7% 6.5% 7.2% 5.6% 7.5% 7.4% 8.1% 8.4% 10.0% 11.6% 11.9%
MaryClaire Kiernan 8.6% 9.2% 9.7% 8.5% 8.6% 7.8% 9.8% 9.0% 6.9% 7.5% 5.7% 5.3% 3.4%
Janel DeCurtis 2.6% 2.8% 2.7% 3.4% 4.5% 4.5% 3.5% 5.8% 6.2% 7.4% 10.4% 14.4% 31.8%
Camille Matile 4.2% 4.9% 5.4% 4.8% 6.2% 6.0% 7.7% 7.8% 8.6% 9.1% 9.3% 12.9% 13.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.