Race 2A

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Taylor Gavula 6.5% 5.7% 7.0% 8.1% 8.3% 6.4% 6.8% 8.1% 9.0% 9.2% 9.7% 8.3% 6.9%
Lydia Grasberger 6.9% 8.2% 7.1% 9.6% 7.5% 8.4% 8.6% 7.9% 8.1% 8.9% 8.2% 5.8% 4.8%
Lindsey Baab 9.6% 12.2% 10.2% 8.2% 9.9% 9.6% 8.4% 9.6% 7.6% 6.0% 3.8% 3.2% 1.7%
Charlotte List 4.6% 6.1% 5.2% 7.0% 7.5% 6.7% 6.5% 7.9% 7.5% 10.7% 9.2% 12.1% 9.0%
Lindsay Doyle 6.4% 6.1% 7.2% 7.7% 6.2% 7.0% 6.2% 8.4% 8.5% 9.1% 9.6% 9.8% 7.8%
Annie Hughes 7.6% 6.1% 8.2% 6.5% 7.7% 9.1% 8.1% 8.3% 8.6% 6.8% 9.3% 7.7% 6.0%
MaryClaire Kiernan 9.3% 8.4% 8.1% 9.0% 7.7% 8.4% 8.4% 8.1% 7.5% 8.7% 8.3% 4.6% 3.5%
Sarah Hermus 13.5% 13.1% 11.3% 8.8% 10.5% 10.2% 9.6% 6.1% 6.9% 3.9% 3.3% 1.8% 1.0%
Casey Klingler 9.4% 9.2% 9.4% 8.7% 8.3% 8.3% 10.4% 8.2% 7.4% 5.8% 6.3% 5.6% 3.0%
Allyson Donahue 14.6% 11.6% 12.2% 11.7% 8.9% 7.9% 8.0% 6.9% 5.7% 4.3% 4.1% 3.2% 0.9%
Mary Paz 4.9% 5.2% 7.0% 5.5% 7.3% 6.5% 8.2% 7.1% 9.0% 10.2% 9.0% 10.2% 9.9%
Janel DeCurtis 2.4% 3.1% 2.1% 3.6% 3.7% 5.0% 4.6% 6.1% 5.7% 6.6% 8.7% 16.7% 31.7%
Camille Matile 4.3% 5.0% 5.0% 5.6% 6.5% 6.5% 6.2% 7.3% 8.5% 9.8% 10.5% 11.0% 13.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.