Race 3A

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
MaryClaire Kiernan 8.0% 8.4% 9.3% 8.7% 7.6% 7.5% 8.2% 9.8% 9.3% 7.6% 6.0% 6.1% 3.5%
Lydia Grasberger 7.0% 8.3% 7.9% 7.4% 8.9% 7.6% 8.1% 9.9% 8.4% 6.6% 8.8% 7.3% 3.8%
Allyson Donahue 12.2% 12.0% 12.8% 9.4% 10.1% 10.0% 8.8% 6.7% 6.4% 5.0% 3.7% 1.9% 1.0%
Charlotte List 4.5% 5.3% 7.0% 6.0% 6.9% 7.9% 5.7% 8.4% 8.6% 9.0% 9.2% 10.7% 10.8%
Casey Klingler 9.6% 11.1% 8.6% 10.3% 8.6% 7.1% 8.3% 9.8% 7.9% 5.8% 5.4% 5.2% 2.3%
Sarah Hermus 13.9% 12.8% 12.6% 10.9% 9.7% 8.6% 8.3% 5.6% 5.9% 4.9% 3.4% 2.1% 1.3%
Lindsey Baab 11.9% 10.6% 11.0% 9.4% 9.4% 9.2% 8.1% 7.2% 6.2% 7.5% 5.4% 2.3% 1.8%
Mary Paz 4.9% 6.4% 4.8% 6.1% 5.4% 7.1% 8.1% 7.5% 8.2% 9.4% 10.6% 11.0% 10.5%
Taylor Gavula 6.8% 5.4% 5.7% 7.5% 7.6% 7.7% 8.2% 8.4% 8.6% 8.3% 6.9% 11.3% 7.6%
Annie Hughes 7.9% 6.7% 6.9% 8.1% 7.4% 8.2% 8.9% 7.4% 7.0% 9.5% 7.5% 7.6% 6.9%
Janel DeCurtis 2.8% 2.4% 3.5% 3.9% 4.5% 5.5% 5.1% 5.2% 6.1% 8.4% 11.9% 13.6% 27.1%
Lindsay Doyle 5.9% 5.6% 5.0% 7.6% 7.4% 6.5% 7.2% 7.3% 8.3% 9.9% 10.4% 9.5% 9.4%
Camille Matile 4.6% 5.0% 4.9% 4.7% 6.5% 7.1% 7.0% 6.8% 9.1% 8.1% 10.8% 11.4% 14.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.