Race 5A

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sarah Hermus 13.6% 12.2% 12.1% 9.1% 10.1% 10.3% 7.9% 7.5% 5.9% 4.3% 4.1% 1.8% 1.1%
Lydia Grasberger 6.0% 9.5% 6.6% 8.1% 8.7% 8.6% 8.3% 9.1% 7.7% 8.3% 8.5% 6.2% 4.4%
MaryClaire Kiernan 7.3% 8.7% 8.9% 8.5% 8.0% 8.0% 8.4% 8.7% 8.6% 9.4% 6.1% 6.1% 3.3%
Lindsey Baab 11.1% 9.7% 12.0% 9.5% 9.1% 8.7% 8.8% 7.6% 6.9% 6.8% 5.1% 3.2% 1.5%
Charlotte List 6.2% 4.9% 6.4% 7.3% 6.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.6% 8.3% 8.6% 11.1% 10.5% 9.1%
Casey Klingler 10.2% 9.9% 9.5% 9.9% 8.5% 9.0% 8.7% 7.8% 7.0% 6.3% 5.9% 4.7% 2.6%
Janel DeCurtis 3.6% 3.4% 3.7% 3.7% 3.8% 4.2% 4.4% 4.5% 6.1% 8.0% 10.8% 12.8% 31.0%
Allyson Donahue 13.3% 12.7% 10.9% 10.6% 9.9% 9.2% 10.1% 7.3% 6.2% 3.1% 3.8% 2.0% 0.9%
Lindsay Doyle 6.1% 5.5% 6.2% 6.4% 7.0% 6.6% 6.9% 8.4% 10.0% 8.7% 8.4% 10.9% 8.9%
Taylor Gavula 7.4% 5.9% 6.4% 6.8% 8.9% 7.0% 8.7% 6.6% 7.5% 9.0% 8.9% 9.5% 7.4%
Annie Hughes 6.1% 7.9% 8.1% 7.5% 8.5% 7.7% 8.6% 9.0% 8.0% 8.4% 8.5% 6.8% 4.9%
Camille Matile 4.8% 4.9% 4.2% 6.1% 5.5% 7.8% 5.2% 7.8% 8.6% 9.6% 9.7% 12.6% 13.2%
Mary Paz 4.3% 4.8% 5.0% 6.5% 6.0% 5.9% 7.0% 8.1% 9.2% 9.5% 9.1% 12.9% 11.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.