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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.84+5.75vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+5.18vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+3.10vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.58+3.59vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.49+2.77vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35-0.89vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.65+0.27vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.86+1.64vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.20-3.26vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.44-2.03vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.37-6.08vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.91-5.31vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.41-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.1Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.59University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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7.77Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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5.11Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.64Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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5.74Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.97Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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4.92University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.69Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.27Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 5.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% |
| Charlotte List | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% |
| Allyson Donahue | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 28.8% |
| Lindsey Baab | 11.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Mary Paz | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 11.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 14.0% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Camille Matile | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.