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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+5.68vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+1.24vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.89+5.43vs Predicted
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4Bates College2.43+5.98vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.39+1.97vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut2.51+3.77vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.63-1.00vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.07-0.04vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.84-0.36vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University3.36-3.01vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.53+1.36vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.68-5.84vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.51-6.29vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.23-6.67vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy1.32-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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3.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.3%1st Place
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8.43Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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9.98Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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6.97University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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9.77University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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6.0Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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7.96University of Rhode Island3.070.0%1st Place
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8.64Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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6.99Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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12.36Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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6.16Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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6.71Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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7.33Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.78Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Meleney | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Samuel Ingham | 28.5% | 20.2% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 7.8% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Sean Andrew | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 5.9% |
| Daniel Perkins | 10.2% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Weston Barlow | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 2.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 22.2% | 33.6% |
| Maggie Shea | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Lucas Campbell | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 10.4% | 20.0% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.