Race 9A

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lydia Grasberger 7.6% 7.4% 7.2% 9.5% 9.0% 7.2% 7.5% 9.2% 8.5% 8.9% 7.3% 5.9% 4.8%
Janel DeCurtis 2.9% 3.2% 2.5% 3.6% 4.0% 5.6% 4.3% 5.0% 5.3% 9.5% 9.4% 14.4% 30.3%
Sarah Hermus 11.9% 11.7% 12.3% 10.1% 11.4% 9.4% 9.2% 6.5% 6.5% 4.7% 3.1% 1.8% 1.4%
Charlotte List 4.7% 5.5% 6.0% 5.7% 7.3% 7.6% 6.8% 6.8% 10.5% 8.5% 10.9% 10.4% 9.3%
Taylor Gavula 6.8% 6.4% 7.2% 8.5% 6.4% 7.2% 7.5% 7.6% 8.6% 9.7% 9.5% 7.8% 6.8%
Lindsey Baab 11.5% 10.1% 11.0% 10.6% 9.7% 9.0% 9.1% 7.3% 6.7% 4.6% 4.9% 3.0% 2.5%
Lindsay Doyle 6.9% 6.7% 6.2% 6.3% 5.4% 7.5% 8.9% 8.1% 6.4% 10.1% 10.0% 9.7% 7.8%
MaryClaire Kiernan 7.7% 8.6% 9.2% 7.9% 7.9% 8.5% 8.3% 9.5% 8.9% 7.7% 6.9% 5.8% 3.1%
Annie Hughes 7.2% 5.9% 6.3% 7.7% 7.7% 7.5% 7.3% 10.4% 9.4% 7.0% 8.1% 9.5% 6.0%
Mary Paz 5.9% 5.2% 4.8% 6.1% 8.0% 6.3% 6.9% 7.2% 7.2% 8.7% 9.9% 11.7% 12.1%
Allyson Donahue 14.2% 14.1% 12.8% 9.7% 9.7% 10.1% 6.5% 7.0% 6.2% 3.9% 2.8% 2.0% 1.0%
Casey Klingler 8.9% 10.3% 9.2% 8.5% 8.4% 7.7% 9.3% 8.5% 6.9% 8.6% 5.7% 5.4% 2.6%
Camille Matile 3.8% 4.9% 5.3% 5.8% 5.1% 6.4% 8.4% 6.9% 8.9% 8.1% 11.5% 12.6% 12.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.