Race 10A

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lindsey Baab 10.1% 12.6% 9.8% 10.3% 8.2% 10.0% 8.4% 7.9% 7.4% 6.0% 4.7% 3.3% 1.3%
Annie Hughes 6.5% 7.2% 6.2% 8.0% 8.1% 7.5% 8.2% 8.3% 8.6% 9.4% 7.2% 9.4% 5.4%
Casey Klingler 9.2% 8.8% 11.7% 7.5% 9.0% 8.8% 9.0% 8.1% 8.8% 7.0% 5.0% 4.6% 2.5%
Lindsay Doyle 5.3% 7.1% 5.6% 6.7% 7.3% 7.5% 7.5% 7.2% 8.7% 9.2% 10.2% 8.7% 9.0%
Mary Paz 6.0% 4.9% 5.9% 6.5% 6.1% 7.1% 6.8% 7.0% 7.8% 8.8% 10.6% 10.4% 12.1%
Charlotte List 6.5% 5.8% 4.3% 6.5% 7.0% 6.8% 7.5% 8.2% 8.8% 9.0% 9.4% 10.1% 10.1%
Allyson Donahue 13.9% 12.2% 11.6% 9.3% 11.7% 8.1% 7.5% 7.3% 6.4% 5.2% 2.9% 3.0% 0.9%
Janel DeCurtis 2.5% 3.5% 4.0% 2.8% 3.4% 4.6% 5.1% 5.6% 6.2% 8.7% 10.4% 14.2% 29.0%
Sarah Hermus 12.8% 11.6% 11.3% 11.3% 9.5% 9.3% 9.5% 7.5% 4.5% 5.3% 3.3% 2.8% 1.3%
Lydia Grasberger 8.8% 7.4% 6.6% 10.0% 9.6% 7.4% 8.2% 7.2% 6.4% 7.9% 8.6% 6.8% 5.1%
Taylor Gavula 6.3% 7.6% 7.1% 7.7% 7.9% 7.9% 7.7% 8.5% 8.7% 7.3% 9.0% 8.3% 6.0%
MaryClaire Kiernan 7.9% 7.1% 9.9% 7.0% 7.2% 8.9% 7.8% 9.4% 8.1% 8.1% 8.5% 5.6% 4.5%
Camille Matile 4.2% 4.2% 6.0% 6.4% 5.0% 6.1% 6.8% 7.8% 9.6% 8.1% 10.2% 12.8% 12.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.