Race 11A

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Casey Klingler 9.6% 9.2% 10.1% 9.2% 7.6% 10.0% 8.4% 9.9% 6.6% 6.5% 6.5% 4.2% 2.2%
Allyson Donahue 12.9% 11.7% 11.6% 10.9% 11.4% 8.0% 7.9% 7.3% 6.0% 4.9% 3.7% 2.3% 1.4%
Lindsey Baab 9.2% 11.2% 11.8% 9.7% 8.2% 9.6% 10.3% 7.2% 7.0% 5.9% 4.8% 3.1% 2.0%
Annie Hughes 6.9% 6.4% 6.5% 8.5% 9.0% 7.3% 6.8% 8.4% 9.9% 7.5% 8.8% 8.1% 5.9%
Sarah Hermus 12.3% 15.9% 11.1% 9.8% 8.8% 8.0% 10.1% 8.0% 5.4% 4.5% 2.6% 2.3% 1.2%
MaryClaire Kiernan 9.0% 7.2% 9.9% 7.5% 9.6% 9.0% 7.4% 10.1% 7.5% 7.0% 6.1% 6.1% 3.6%
Taylor Gavula 7.6% 6.7% 6.3% 6.6% 8.3% 6.4% 7.5% 8.3% 8.5% 9.8% 9.9% 7.6% 6.5%
Janel DeCurtis 2.6% 4.5% 3.3% 2.9% 2.8% 4.0% 5.2% 5.4% 6.6% 7.8% 11.0% 15.2% 28.7%
Charlotte List 6.1% 5.1% 4.5% 6.2% 6.7% 8.1% 6.4% 6.7% 10.0% 9.0% 8.7% 11.8% 10.7%
Lydia Grasberger 8.6% 6.4% 7.4% 9.2% 8.3% 9.9% 7.1% 7.6% 7.6% 8.2% 7.3% 7.2% 5.2%
Mary Paz 5.2% 5.5% 6.5% 5.8% 7.6% 6.2% 7.5% 7.6% 8.8% 10.0% 9.1% 10.5% 9.7%
Lindsay Doyle 5.6% 5.2% 5.8% 8.3% 6.3% 6.8% 8.1% 5.9% 8.6% 8.8% 10.1% 9.9% 10.6%
Camille Matile 4.4% 5.0% 5.2% 5.4% 5.4% 6.7% 7.3% 7.6% 7.5% 10.1% 11.4% 11.7% 12.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.