Race 12A

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lindsey Baab 11.4% 10.8% 10.4% 8.4% 11.3% 8.3% 9.7% 7.6% 7.0% 5.0% 5.0% 3.2% 1.9%
Taylor Gavula 5.7% 6.8% 6.3% 6.7% 8.1% 7.4% 7.4% 8.7% 8.8% 8.1% 9.6% 9.6% 6.8%
Annie Hughes 5.7% 6.9% 7.4% 8.3% 6.5% 9.0% 7.4% 8.6% 8.9% 9.3% 8.7% 7.5% 5.8%
MaryClaire Kiernan 8.2% 7.6% 9.1% 9.0% 7.8% 7.6% 9.1% 7.3% 9.0% 8.5% 7.2% 6.3% 3.3%
Allyson Donahue 13.5% 14.1% 11.8% 10.0% 9.9% 7.8% 8.9% 7.9% 5.6% 4.3% 3.0% 2.5% 0.7%
Casey Klingler 9.7% 10.3% 8.4% 11.9% 8.7% 8.3% 8.5% 7.3% 7.3% 7.0% 5.2% 4.5% 2.9%
Lydia Grasberger 9.1% 7.4% 7.7% 7.5% 8.0% 9.0% 7.3% 9.4% 8.2% 7.4% 8.6% 6.3% 4.1%
Sarah Hermus 13.4% 11.4% 13.6% 10.7% 8.5% 9.4% 9.1% 7.2% 5.8% 4.5% 3.7% 2.1% 0.6%
Janel DeCurtis 2.7% 3.9% 3.1% 3.6% 3.4% 3.8% 4.6% 5.0% 6.2% 8.7% 10.1% 14.0% 30.9%
Camille Matile 5.8% 4.8% 4.7% 5.5% 6.7% 7.6% 6.5% 9.0% 7.5% 7.3% 10.3% 11.8% 12.5%
Charlotte List 4.8% 5.3% 7.9% 5.8% 6.8% 7.4% 8.3% 8.0% 9.3% 8.7% 8.8% 10.5% 8.4%
Mary Paz 5.0% 5.1% 4.4% 5.6% 8.0% 5.8% 5.6% 7.4% 7.6% 10.9% 10.0% 11.9% 12.7%
Lindsay Doyle 5.0% 5.6% 5.2% 7.0% 6.3% 8.6% 7.6% 6.6% 8.8% 10.3% 9.8% 9.8% 9.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.