Race 13A

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Casey Klingler 9.6% 9.3% 9.6% 10.8% 7.2% 8.3% 9.6% 8.5% 7.9% 8.2% 4.9% 3.3% 2.8%
Janel DeCurtis 2.9% 3.3% 2.9% 3.5% 4.0% 5.1% 5.0% 3.0% 7.3% 8.9% 8.5% 14.4% 31.2%
Allyson Donahue 11.7% 12.8% 12.4% 8.7% 10.3% 11.3% 7.5% 7.4% 5.4% 4.9% 4.5% 1.9% 1.2%
Charlotte List 5.3% 4.2% 5.9% 8.1% 5.7% 8.3% 6.2% 7.5% 8.3% 9.5% 10.8% 10.9% 9.3%
Sarah Hermus 12.6% 16.6% 9.6% 10.8% 9.7% 8.5% 8.6% 7.0% 5.7% 4.5% 3.4% 2.3% 0.7%
MaryClaire Kiernan 8.3% 9.0% 8.0% 8.6% 9.6% 7.6% 8.6% 9.1% 8.3% 7.2% 6.5% 5.2% 4.0%
Lindsay Doyle 6.9% 6.5% 6.4% 5.6% 7.2% 6.1% 8.1% 7.4% 9.3% 8.2% 12.0% 8.8% 7.5%
Lindsey Baab 11.6% 10.5% 11.4% 9.2% 8.4% 10.2% 9.0% 9.4% 6.8% 4.0% 4.9% 3.6% 1.0%
Lydia Grasberger 8.0% 6.4% 7.6% 8.2% 8.7% 8.3% 7.8% 8.6% 8.9% 7.5% 5.9% 9.3% 4.8%
Annie Hughes 7.6% 6.5% 7.1% 6.8% 9.7% 6.5% 7.3% 9.1% 7.5% 8.3% 8.8% 7.4% 7.4%
Mary Paz 4.9% 4.7% 6.7% 6.6% 6.7% 7.1% 7.4% 8.1% 8.6% 9.2% 9.8% 10.5% 9.7%
Taylor Gavula 6.2% 6.0% 6.9% 6.8% 7.5% 5.8% 7.3% 9.1% 7.5% 10.0% 9.9% 9.5% 7.5%
Camille Matile 4.4% 4.2% 5.5% 6.3% 5.3% 6.9% 7.6% 5.8% 8.5% 9.6% 10.1% 12.9% 12.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.