Race 1B

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alexandra Maurillo 8.6% 7.6% 9.1% 9.8% 8.6% 9.0% 9.0% 10.0% 8.7% 8.3% 6.5% 3.3% 1.5%
Hannah Steadman 16.6% 15.0% 14.1% 13.1% 9.5% 9.9% 8.5% 5.3% 3.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 8.7% 10.9% 10.7% 9.8% 9.3% 10.6% 9.4% 9.5% 7.7% 5.1% 5.5% 2.3% 0.5%
Molly Pleskus 5.5% 7.1% 7.1% 7.3% 8.8% 8.7% 8.7% 7.7% 10.7% 10.0% 9.2% 6.7% 2.5%
Delaney Bamford 7.9% 8.1% 8.2% 7.6% 9.6% 7.4% 8.3% 10.8% 8.4% 9.6% 7.3% 5.1% 1.7%
Marie Bergsund 1.9% 2.1% 2.4% 3.3% 3.2% 2.8% 2.9% 4.3% 6.0% 9.2% 11.5% 23.1% 27.3%
Allison Cahn 5.5% 4.1% 5.6% 4.7% 5.2% 6.2% 6.3% 8.1% 9.6% 10.3% 13.8% 13.7% 6.9%
Kelsey Shakin 7.1% 7.8% 7.4% 7.7% 8.8% 9.6% 9.1% 10.1% 10.8% 8.3% 6.3% 5.3% 1.7%
Isabella Loosbrock 17.4% 15.3% 12.7% 12.3% 11.0% 9.0% 6.7% 6.2% 3.6% 3.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Greta Farrell 6.4% 7.1% 5.9% 7.7% 8.3% 8.7% 8.0% 8.2% 9.2% 9.7% 9.9% 7.0% 3.9%
Lucy Wilmot 9.6% 8.4% 10.5% 8.2% 10.4% 9.2% 10.4% 7.6% 7.9% 7.1% 5.2% 4.5% 1.0%
Erin Coyne 0.9% 1.4% 1.5% 2.1% 1.4% 3.0% 3.2% 4.1% 3.7% 5.2% 8.9% 17.1% 47.5%
Annie Spence 3.9% 5.1% 4.8% 6.4% 5.9% 5.9% 9.5% 8.1% 10.1% 11.4% 13.0% 10.5% 5.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.