Race 2B

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Greta Farrell 6.2% 6.8% 6.0% 7.6% 8.6% 7.7% 7.6% 9.9% 11.0% 9.3% 9.4% 7.6% 2.3%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 9.1% 9.4% 11.0% 10.6% 9.7% 10.4% 9.1% 9.2% 6.0% 7.4% 4.7% 2.6% 0.8%
Isabella Loosbrock 17.2% 14.6% 13.1% 13.5% 12.0% 8.7% 7.4% 5.9% 4.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.2%
Molly Pleskus 4.8% 8.2% 7.8% 6.5% 8.6% 7.2% 8.4% 9.3% 9.8% 10.7% 9.3% 6.9% 2.5%
Alexandra Maurillo 9.0% 9.7% 9.5% 8.8% 9.2% 8.0% 9.8% 9.3% 8.5% 7.1% 5.8% 3.6% 1.7%
Hannah Steadman 17.7% 15.4% 14.7% 11.7% 9.3% 8.1% 7.9% 5.7% 4.5% 2.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Kelsey Shakin 8.5% 7.1% 8.8% 8.4% 8.5% 8.3% 8.9% 9.6% 8.7% 8.0% 8.2% 5.5% 1.5%
Lucy Wilmot 8.2% 9.8% 8.1% 9.4% 8.0% 9.9% 9.8% 9.3% 9.1% 7.9% 6.2% 3.3% 1.0%
Delaney Bamford 7.8% 6.8% 6.8% 8.5% 8.6% 10.2% 9.1% 9.9% 7.3% 8.8% 8.7% 5.7% 1.8%
Allison Cahn 4.5% 4.7% 5.1% 4.4% 5.9% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 10.3% 9.9% 12.1% 13.3% 8.2%
Marie Bergsund 1.7% 1.4% 2.5% 2.5% 3.7% 4.1% 4.5% 3.9% 7.1% 8.5% 10.8% 22.9% 26.4%
Annie Spence 4.4% 4.7% 5.4% 6.4% 6.3% 7.5% 7.7% 8.1% 9.1% 11.0% 13.4% 9.9% 6.1%
Erin Coyne 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 1.7% 1.6% 2.7% 2.6% 2.7% 4.5% 6.4% 9.3% 17.7% 47.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.