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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+3.28vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.36+4.62vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.23+4.06vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.50+2.21vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+2.03vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.67-0.39vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.65+3.82vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.79+0.23vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.50-2.74vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.02+0.17vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36-4.60vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.18-7.59vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.97-5.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Boston College3.200.2%1st Place
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6.62Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.06Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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6.21Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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7.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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5.61Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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10.82Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
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8.23Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.26Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.17Bowdoin College1.020.0%1st Place
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6.4University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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4.41Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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7.9University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 17.0% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Greta Farrell | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Erin Coyne | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 17.1% | 44.6% |
| Allison Cahn | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 6.7% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Marie Bergsund | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 21.8% | 29.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Hannah Steadman | 15.1% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Annie Spence | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.