Race 4B

toni-deutsch

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lucy Wilmot 8.3% 8.6% 10.6% 9.9% 9.5% 7.3% 10.2% 11.6% 8.6% 5.7% 5.7% 3.0% 1.0%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 10.3% 9.0% 10.7% 10.8% 11.7% 9.9% 9.6% 7.1% 7.8% 6.7% 3.2% 2.2% 1.0%
Kelsey Shakin 5.6% 8.5% 9.4% 8.2% 7.2% 10.5% 8.8% 10.1% 10.0% 9.2% 7.2% 3.7% 1.6%
Ragna Agerup 8.0% 8.0% 9.6% 9.8% 8.9% 9.3% 9.1% 9.0% 8.8% 9.7% 5.9% 2.9% 1.0%
Hannah Steadman 19.0% 16.9% 12.6% 12.0% 12.0% 8.1% 7.2% 4.7% 3.5% 2.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Allison Cahn 4.6% 4.5% 5.1% 4.8% 7.3% 6.3% 7.7% 8.0% 9.5% 12.5% 12.6% 11.2% 5.9%
Molly Pleskus 7.8% 7.4% 7.9% 7.3% 6.9% 9.5% 8.5% 9.5% 10.5% 9.4% 7.5% 5.3% 2.5%
Isabella Loosbrock 17.2% 17.2% 12.9% 12.9% 12.1% 10.1% 6.6% 5.1% 2.5% 1.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Delaney Bamford 8.6% 6.8% 7.1% 9.5% 7.9% 9.7% 9.9% 9.2% 8.0% 9.1% 7.3% 4.7% 2.2%
Marie Bergsund 1.8% 2.8% 2.4% 2.7% 3.0% 3.6% 3.4% 5.2% 7.4% 8.6% 12.1% 20.8% 26.2%
Annie Spence 4.9% 5.0% 7.3% 6.8% 6.9% 7.8% 8.7% 10.1% 11.1% 8.8% 11.2% 8.1% 3.3%
Sarah Caso 2.8% 3.9% 3.2% 3.8% 5.3% 5.1% 7.2% 6.3% 7.5% 10.1% 14.8% 17.8% 12.2%
Erin Coyne 1.1% 1.4% 1.2% 1.5% 1.3% 2.8% 3.1% 4.1% 4.8% 5.8% 10.5% 19.4% 43.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.