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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+2.34vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.39+4.73vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.41+3.73vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.68+1.92vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.89+3.55vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+1.39vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.63-0.99vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.07-0.05vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.84-0.33vs Predicted
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10Bates College2.43+0.05vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.51-4.43vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut2.51-2.01vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy1.32-0.06vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University3.36-7.15vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.53-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.3%1st Place
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6.73University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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6.73Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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5.92Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.55Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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7.39Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.01Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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7.95University of Rhode Island3.070.0%1st Place
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8.67Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.05Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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6.57Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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9.99University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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12.94Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
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6.85Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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12.31Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ingham | 26.3% | 22.3% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| John Meleney | 7.5% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Maggie Shea | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Perkins | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Weston Barlow | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 7.5% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Sean Andrew | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 6.2% |
| Lucas Campbell | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 20.6% | 44.4% |
| Kyle Carney | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Sean Willerford | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 22.3% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.