Race 5B

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hannah Steadman 17.7% 15.7% 13.9% 12.8% 10.1% 9.7% 7.1% 4.8% 4.0% 2.6% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Allison Cahn 4.0% 4.9% 4.6% 5.8% 6.8% 5.6% 6.5% 9.6% 9.6% 10.8% 12.7% 11.4% 7.7%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 9.4% 11.2% 10.2% 9.7% 10.4% 10.9% 9.5% 9.4% 7.2% 5.1% 4.1% 2.4% 0.5%
Lucy Wilmot 8.9% 9.1% 8.5% 10.0% 9.5% 9.7% 9.3% 9.5% 7.3% 8.0% 6.2% 3.0% 1.0%
Molly Pleskus 7.6% 6.6% 7.4% 7.8% 9.1% 8.7% 8.5% 9.6% 9.4% 9.5% 7.2% 6.3% 2.3%
Erin Coyne 1.0% 1.3% 1.9% 2.8% 2.8% 1.7% 2.4% 3.7% 5.2% 6.4% 10.8% 15.6% 44.4%
Kelsey Shakin 9.3% 7.1% 9.8% 8.1% 7.7% 8.9% 10.2% 8.6% 9.7% 8.1% 6.5% 4.4% 1.6%
Annie Spence 5.2% 6.5% 6.0% 6.3% 5.5% 7.0% 8.7% 11.0% 9.6% 10.6% 10.8% 9.1% 3.7%
Ragna Agerup 8.2% 8.0% 9.5% 9.1% 9.5% 9.6% 9.9% 8.7% 9.0% 7.4% 6.3% 4.0% 0.8%
Delaney Bamford 8.7% 7.7% 7.7% 8.3% 10.3% 8.6% 9.0% 7.6% 9.5% 8.2% 7.3% 5.0% 2.1%
Marie Bergsund 1.7% 1.5% 2.3% 3.7% 3.4% 3.8% 5.0% 5.2% 7.1% 9.8% 11.6% 20.9% 24.0%
Isabella Loosbrock 15.9% 17.4% 13.3% 12.2% 10.9% 9.7% 7.2% 5.1% 3.7% 2.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Sarah Caso 2.4% 3.0% 4.9% 3.4% 4.0% 6.1% 6.7% 7.2% 8.7% 10.7% 14.3% 16.7% 11.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.