Race 6B

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lucy Wilmot 8.5% 8.8% 10.1% 8.1% 9.9% 9.1% 10.0% 8.8% 7.9% 8.3% 5.1% 3.4% 2.0%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 9.6% 10.3% 9.4% 10.6% 11.2% 9.3% 9.1% 8.5% 6.2% 6.8% 5.4% 3.4% 0.2%
Molly Pleskus 5.7% 5.7% 8.4% 7.5% 7.7% 8.9% 9.2% 8.6% 9.5% 9.8% 9.3% 7.3% 2.4%
Annie Spence 4.0% 5.3% 5.5% 6.5% 6.6% 8.6% 7.4% 8.7% 9.5% 10.8% 11.5% 10.4% 5.2%
Kelsey Shakin 8.6% 8.1% 7.9% 8.2% 9.7% 8.5% 7.8% 10.0% 10.0% 7.4% 7.2% 5.1% 1.5%
Isabella Loosbrock 18.3% 15.6% 13.5% 13.4% 8.5% 8.5% 7.6% 6.0% 3.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%
Hannah Steadman 17.9% 15.3% 14.8% 11.1% 10.4% 7.5% 7.9% 6.6% 3.7% 2.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.2%
Ragna Agerup 8.3% 8.8% 9.1% 8.6% 9.4% 8.8% 9.9% 9.2% 8.8% 7.0% 7.2% 3.3% 1.6%
Allison Cahn 4.1% 5.2% 4.4% 4.8% 5.8% 5.2% 7.5% 7.0% 10.2% 11.7% 12.3% 12.9% 8.9%
Erin Coyne 1.4% 1.9% 1.6% 2.5% 1.5% 2.7% 2.4% 2.6% 4.8% 6.3% 7.4% 19.5% 45.4%
Marie Bergsund 1.9% 1.4% 1.9% 3.0% 3.3% 5.5% 3.8% 5.5% 4.9% 8.4% 13.5% 21.3% 25.6%
Delaney Bamford 6.4% 7.5% 8.3% 7.6% 8.0% 7.8% 10.2% 9.4% 8.7% 9.0% 8.7% 5.2% 3.2%
Greta Farrell 5.3% 6.1% 5.1% 8.1% 8.0% 9.6% 7.2% 9.1% 11.9% 9.3% 9.5% 7.3% 3.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.