Race 7B

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lucy Wilmot 8.0% 9.2% 8.7% 9.1% 9.8% 8.9% 8.5% 9.9% 9.2% 7.3% 6.2% 3.9% 1.3%
Greta Farrell 5.9% 6.1% 7.4% 7.7% 7.8% 7.7% 7.9% 10.0% 9.8% 9.9% 9.5% 7.5% 2.8%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 8.9% 10.6% 10.7% 8.6% 9.7% 12.2% 8.9% 9.5% 7.3% 5.1% 5.2% 2.5% 0.8%
Alexandra Maurillo 8.5% 8.2% 8.5% 10.2% 8.9% 9.2% 11.5% 6.9% 8.2% 7.6% 7.2% 3.8% 1.3%
Kelsey Shakin 8.3% 8.3% 7.8% 8.4% 8.4% 8.9% 7.6% 10.7% 9.7% 7.2% 7.3% 6.3% 1.1%
Isabella Loosbrock 17.8% 16.3% 15.3% 10.6% 9.8% 8.7% 7.0% 5.5% 4.4% 2.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Hannah Steadman 17.6% 15.1% 12.9% 13.1% 10.8% 8.3% 7.1% 6.1% 4.3% 2.5% 1.2% 0.8% 0.2%
Molly Pleskus 5.8% 6.9% 7.7% 8.0% 7.7% 9.0% 9.3% 9.0% 8.2% 11.5% 9.3% 5.0% 2.6%
Annie Spence 5.1% 5.4% 4.8% 6.6% 6.6% 5.2% 7.2% 9.9% 11.0% 9.8% 11.2% 11.7% 5.5%
Delaney Bamford 7.7% 8.3% 7.5% 8.2% 9.5% 8.2% 9.1% 7.7% 9.9% 9.0% 7.1% 5.4% 2.4%
Marie Bergsund 1.7% 1.5% 2.2% 3.0% 3.0% 4.7% 5.0% 4.7% 5.1% 9.3% 13.3% 21.4% 25.1%
Erin Coyne 1.0% 1.0% 2.0% 1.5% 1.8% 2.5% 3.4% 3.4% 3.8% 5.3% 9.3% 16.6% 48.4%
Allison Cahn 3.7% 3.1% 4.5% 5.0% 6.2% 6.5% 7.5% 6.7% 9.1% 13.1% 11.7% 14.6% 8.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.