Race 8B

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hannah Steadman 17.3% 14.3% 14.4% 12.4% 10.4% 9.3% 7.5% 6.4% 3.8% 1.8% 1.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Greta Farrell 5.8% 6.0% 6.6% 7.4% 7.8% 10.6% 8.1% 7.3% 11.6% 8.6% 10.6% 7.3% 2.3%
Alexandra Maurillo 7.1% 8.5% 10.5% 8.6% 8.8% 9.0% 9.4% 8.6% 11.1% 7.9% 5.7% 3.8% 1.0%
Delaney Bamford 7.4% 8.1% 6.8% 9.2% 8.6% 8.3% 10.1% 9.2% 7.2% 9.9% 8.0% 5.3% 1.9%
Lucy Wilmot 9.2% 9.7% 8.4% 9.6% 9.6% 7.7% 9.3% 8.8% 8.7% 8.2% 5.8% 4.0% 1.0%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 10.5% 9.6% 10.8% 10.9% 9.6% 10.0% 9.5% 6.7% 7.4% 5.7% 5.6% 3.1% 0.6%
Isabella Loosbrock 17.0% 16.1% 13.3% 12.3% 10.4% 9.1% 6.6% 6.8% 3.8% 2.5% 1.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Kelsey Shakin 7.6% 8.1% 7.9% 7.3% 8.4% 9.7% 8.7% 10.3% 8.8% 9.2% 7.8% 4.5% 1.7%
Molly Pleskus 6.3% 6.9% 6.2% 6.8% 8.7% 7.4% 10.8% 8.6% 9.0% 9.4% 10.2% 6.1% 3.6%
Marie Bergsund 2.0% 2.4% 2.4% 2.1% 3.5% 2.7% 4.0% 4.8% 6.0% 8.8% 10.0% 23.2% 28.1%
Annie Spence 5.0% 4.7% 7.1% 6.6% 6.1% 7.5% 8.6% 9.2% 10.7% 10.3% 11.1% 8.6% 4.5%
Allison Cahn 3.8% 4.4% 3.9% 5.3% 6.3% 6.5% 5.4% 9.3% 7.6% 11.2% 13.5% 14.7% 8.1%
Erin Coyne 1.0% 1.2% 1.7% 1.5% 1.8% 2.2% 2.0% 4.0% 4.3% 6.5% 8.4% 18.4% 47.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.